Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1.865575 2.127299 2.414587 2.753667 3.143377 3.577768 4.099397
2025-10-05 1.549130 1.907156 2.332810 2.877554 3.558236 4.383350 5.463448
2025-10-12 1.337103 1.755409 2.287297 3.016431 3.995085 5.270388 7.069977
2025-10-19 1.154238 1.601024 2.202864 3.078430 4.329155 6.065678 8.684204
2025-10-26 1.012406 1.473549 2.126996 3.128904 4.641546 6.864162 10.421980
2025-11-02 0.866063 1.314557 1.978831 3.045445 4.736444 7.349334 11.761205
2025-11-09 0.732626 1.153950 1.802885 2.888496 4.686381 7.592666 12.742046
2025-11-16 0.652226 1.063524 1.720696 2.863410 4.835633 8.163417 14.337220
2025-11-23 0.579351 0.975052 1.628894 2.806915 4.918997 8.627144 15.807617
2025-11-30 0.551189 0.957111 1.650519 2.944721 5.354985 9.758400 18.660838
2025-12-07 0.516342 0.922843 1.638921 3.019962 5.684637 10.737366 21.374780
2025-12-14 0.472312 0.866683 1.581210 3.001350 5.832296 11.388113 23.532899
2025-12-21 0.418976 0.788596 1.476726 2.884880 5.782374 11.662818 24.999686
2025-12-28 0.402118 0.777666 1.497436 3.017140 6.252702 13.061476 29.133247
2026-01-04 0.387960 0.770249 1.523879 3.164284 6.775206 14.648550 33.978899
2026-01-11 0.366409 0.745416 1.512425 3.230091 7.130939 15.924966 38.332176
2026-01-18 0.345713 0.719903 1.496412 3.283502 7.465909 17.203687 42.925772
2026-01-25 0.314751 0.669221 1.421520 3.195842 7.462263 17.688994 45.598912
2026-02-01 0.280908 0.608658 1.318589 3.030790 7.250846 17.639673 46.855329
2026-02-08 0.261253 0.577395 1.277009 3.004436 7.374472 18.440118 50.565856
2026-02-15 0.241102 0.542903 1.224425 2.945021 7.406797 19.011891 53.743653
2026-02-22 0.236505 0.543742 1.253366 3.090011 7.986635 21.112638 61.766731
2026-03-01 0.227798 0.533961 1.256126 3.169182 8.403809 22.839199 69.018811